www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comEssentials
of
Lean Six Sigma
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comwww.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comEssentials
of
Lean Six Sigma
Salman Taghizadegan
AMSTERDAM (cid:127) BOSTON (cid:127) HEIDELBERG (cid:127) LONDON
NEW YORK (cid:127) OXFORD (cid:127) PARIS (cid:127) SAN DIEGO
SAN FRANCISCO (cid:127) SINGAPORE (cid:127) SYDNEY (cid:127) TOKYO
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www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comTo my loving wife, Leila and our daughters, Sara and Setareh.
To my father and my late mother who asked so little and gave so much.
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comwww.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comContents
xiii
Preface
Acknowledgments
About the Author
xv
xvii
PART I
Statistical Theory and Concepts
Chapter 1
Introduction to Essentials of Lean Six Sigma
(6s) Strategies
1.1
Lean Six Sigma (6s) Concept Review
1.1.1 The Philosophy
1.1.2 Lean/Kaizen Six Sigma Engineering
1
1
2
1.2 Six Sigma Background
1.3 Some Six Sigma Successes
3
4
Chapter 2
Statistical Theory of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
2.1 Normal Distribution Curve
2.2 Six Sigma Process Capability Concepts
7
2.2.1 Six Sigma Short-Term Capability
2.2.2 Estimation of Six Sigma Long-Term Capability
7
10
13
vii
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viii
Contents
Chapter 3
Mathematical Concepts of Lean Six Sigma
Engineering Strategies
3.1 Process Modeling—The Heart of Lean Six Sigma
3.2 The Normal Distribution
3.3 The Standard Normal Distribution
3.4
t-Distribution
3.4.1 Confi dence Interval for the Difference of
25
29
27
21
Two Means
29
32
3.5 Binomial Distribution
3.6 Poisson Distribution
3.7 Exponential Distribution
3.8 Hypergeometric Distribution
3.9 Normality Tests
36
34
35
35
3.9.1 Kurtosis
37
3.9.2 Anderson Darling
37
3.10 Reliability Engineering and Estimation
3.11 Quality Cost
41
38
PART II
Six Sigma Engineering
and Implementation
Chapter 4
Six Sigma Continuous Improvement
4.1 Six Sigma Continuous Improvement Principles
4.2 Six Sigma Systems
4.3 Six Sigma Improvement and Training Models
44
43
45
Chapter 5
Design for Six Sigma: Roadmap for Successful
Corporate Goals
5.1 Design for Six Sigma (DFSS) Principles
5.2 Design for Six Sigma Steps
5.3 Six Sigma Ergonomics
54
51
49
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Contents
ix
5.4 Tools and Techniques
5.5 Process Management
55
57
Chapter 6
Design for Lean/Kaizen Six Sigma
6.1 Lean Six Sigma and Principles
59
6.1.1 Elements of Lean Manufacturing/Production
63
6.1.2 Waste Types in Lean Manufacturing
6.1.3 The Five Lean Themes and Steps
66
61
6.2 The Elements of Lean Performance Measurements
68
6.2.1 Strategic Measurement Model
6.2.2
Key Elements That Make a Product Successful in the
Marketplace
71
69
71
6.3 Competitive Product Benchmarking Concepts
6.4 Integration of Kaizen, Lean, and Six Sigma
6.4.1 Six Sigma, Lean, and Kaizen Principles
6.4.2 Prolong Production Performance (PPP)
6.4.3 A Lean Concept in Reduction of Lead Time
Lean/Kaizen Six Sigma Infrastructure Evolution Tools and
Highlights in Summary
80
6.5.1 Corporate Commitment
6.5.2 Steps to Achieve the Six Sigma Goals
73
73
76
6.5
80
79
81
6.6 Mathematical Modeling of Lean Six Sigma Relations
84
6.6.1 Lean Six Sigma Experimental Design
85
Chapter 7
Roles and Responsibilities to Lean Six Sigma Philosophy
and Strategy
7.1
The Roadmap to Lean Six Sigma Philosophy
and Strategy
103
7.2 Creation of Six Sigma Infrastructure
103
104
104
7.2.1 Executive Sponsor
7.2.2 Champion
7.2.3 Master Black Belt
7.2.4 Black Belt (Team Leader)
7.2.5 Green Belt (Team Participant)
7.2.6 Team Recognition/Compensation
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104
105
106
106
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x
Contents
Chapter 8
Road Map to Lean Six Sigma Continuous Improvement
Engineering Strategies
8.1 Six-Sigma Continuous Improvement Engineering
8.2 Defi nition and Measurement
108
8.2.1 Phase 0: Process Defi nition/Project Selection
8.2.2 Phase I: Process Measurement
116
107
108
8.3 Evaluation of Existing Process Sigma/Baseline Sigma
8.4 Data Analysis
143
143
8.4.1 Phase II: Process Analysis
8.5 Optimization and Improvement
143
150
8.5.1 Phase III: Process Improvement
150
8.6 Evaluation of New Sigma
160
8.7 Process Control
8.7.1 Phase IV: Process Control and Maintain
159
160
PART III
Case Studies
Chapter 9
Six Sigma Green and Black Belt Level Case Studies
9.1
9.2
175
175
175
179
Phase 3: Improve and Verify Analyzed Data
Case Study: Methodology for Machine Downtime Reduction—
A Green Belt Methodology
9.1.1 Phase 0: Problem Statement
9.1.2 Phase 1: Data Collection and Measurement
9.1.3 Phase 2: Analysis of Measurement
9.1.4
9.1.5 Phase 4: Control and Maintain
Case Study: Methodology for Defect Reduction in Injection
Molding Tools—A Black Belt Methodology
9.2.1 Phase 0: Defi nition and Statement of Issues
9.2.2 Phase 1: Data Collection and Measurement
9.2.3 Phase 2: Analysis of Collected Data
9.2.4 Phase 3: The Process of Improvement
9.2.5
184
184
184
182
179
191
191
Phase 4: The Process of Control and
Maintenance
197
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Contents
xi
Chapter 10
Six Sigma Master Black Belt Level Case Study
10.1 Case Study: Defect Reduction in Injection Molding a Multifactor
Lean Central Composite Design Approach
10.1.1 Scope of Injection Molded Parts
10.1.2 Scope of Study
205
205
206
205
10.2 Composite Design Methodology
10.3 Modeling
10.4 Simulation
10.5 Conclusion
Bibliography
215
222
223
212
Appendix: Statistical Tables Used for Lean Six Sigma
AI: Highlights of Symbols and Abbreviations
AII: Chapter 10 Case Study Extended Equations
AIII: Values of y = exp(−h)
AIV: DPMO to Sigma to Yield % Conversion Table
233
227
229
235
AV: Standard Normal Distribution
AVI: Critical Values of t-Distribution
AVII: Critical Values of Chi-Square Distribution with Degrees
237
241
of Freedom
245
AVIII: Upper Critical Values of the F-Distribution for df1
Numerator Degrees of Freedom and df2 Denominator
251
Degrees of Freedom
AIX: Deming’s Condensation of the 14 Points for
Management
265
AX: Scorecard for Performance Reporting
AXI: Scorecard for Performance Reporting (Partly Completed
267
Index
271
Example)
269
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.com
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comPreface
ABOUT THIS BOOK
Before the 1970s, the industry standards were based on ±3s and percent (%)
defect. Now, as population grows and industrial volume due to global economy
becomes mass production, the ±3s and percent defect evaluations are no longer
valid. The ±6s and defect per million are today’s standard for ultimate customer
satisfaction and maximum profi tability. Knowing that customer satisfaction is the
number one priority on any organization’s list, the success of any company depends
on quality and competitive product pricing. Today the globalized market allows no
space for error. Thus, Six Sigma is necessary for all organizations. The theory of
Six Sigma demonstrates the bottom line and customer satisfaction improvement.
Unlike other programs that concentrate on quality only, Six Sigma focuses on
customer satisfaction and the bottom line. This also means the highest quality:
As defects drop to 3.4 per million, quality improves dramatically.
This book explains the Lean Six Sigma concepts, the essential theory and analysis
from the engineering point of view in three different parts. Part I: Statistical Theory
and Concepts; Part II: Six Sigma Engineering and Implementation; and Part III: Case
Studies. Throughout this book numerous examples have been cited, particularly in
the plastics industry of injection molding. All other manufacturers may also benefi t
to a great extent. Consequently, any other organization may engineer their Six Sigma
program using this book, as well. A brief description of each chapter follows:
Part I. Statistical Theory and Concepts
Chapter 1. Reviews Lean Six Sigma concepts and background (history).
Chapter 2.
Demonstrates normal distribution, process capability estimation of
1 sigma through Six Sigma.
Explains essentials of mathematical concepts in Lean Six Sigma
engineering strategies, as well as a review of standard normal dis-
tribution and normality tests.
Chapter 3.
xiii
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comxiv
Preface
Part II. Six Sigma Engineering and Implementation
Chapter 4.
The essentials of Six Sigma continuous improvement principles and
training models.
The essentials of design for Six Sigma principles, tools, and
techniques.
Chapter 5.
Chapter 6. The essentials of design for Lean Six Sigma and training models.
Chapter 7.
The roles and responsibilities to Six Sigma philosophy and Six
Sigma infrastructure.
The road map to Lean Six Sigma continuous improvement engineer-
ing strategies.
Chapter 8.
Part III. Case Studies
Chapter 9.
Case studies with complete Six Sigma applications in injection
molding plastics manufacturing for Green and Black Belts.
Chapter 10. An expanded version of the case study published by the author for
the Black Belt level in reduction or minimization of variation in an
injection molding plastic industry.
Salman Taghizadegan
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comAcknowledgments
The author wishes to thank Keith Boyle (Quality & Productivity Resources)
for his inspiration, assistance, and contributions throughout this book. He also
provided my Black Belt training at the University of California at San Diego.
Much appreciation goes to my family. To my wife, Leila, and my daughter, Sara,
thank you for your long-lasting patience and continuous support. I would like to
acknowledge Hunter Industries for supporting and giving me the opportunity to
implement Lean Six Sigma concepts in practice. I thank Diane Clark for her
support of the publication of this book (and for putting in long hours and making
this book easier to read). Finally, my thanks to Joel Stein at Elsevier Science for
his support and patience throughout the publishing process and other members
of the Elsevier Science team for their support and assistance in making this work
a reality. My thanks to Shelley Burke for her assistance throughout the publishing
process. Furthermore, thanks goes to Carl M. Soares for managing the Publica-
tion process.
xv
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comwww.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comAbout the Author
Dr. Salman Taghizadegan has substantial experience in chemical and plas-
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tics processing, design, control, and analysis. He received his B.S. in chemistry
from Western Illinois University, his B.S. in chemical engineering from the
University of Arkansas, his M.S. in chemical engineering from the Texas A&M
University, and his Ph.D. in chemical engineering with emphasis in plastics from
the University of Louisville.
He has over 20 years of academic and full-time industrial experience in plas-
tics and chemical processing, design, and control engineering, primarily in injec-
tion molding industries. He has authored numerous technical publications and
has spent most of his professional career as an adjunct professor in engineering,
as a highly technical specialist in the plastics industry, as a leader in quality and
process improvement, and as the manager of waste reduction in the manufactur-
ing environment. Dr. Taghizadegan is certifi ed Six-Sigma Black Belt and Master
Black Belt through the University of California at San Diego and the university
of San Diego. He is a member of the Society of Plastics Engineers.
xvii
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comwww.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comChapter 1
Introduction to Essentials of
Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
Lean Six Sigma: Six Sigma Quality with
Lean Speed
1.1 LEAN SIX SIGMA (6s ) CONCEPT REVIEW
1.1.1 THE PHILOSOPHY
In any organization customer satisfaction is the number one priority. Customer
satisfaction also means profi tability. The success of any company depends on the
ability to ensure the highest quality at the lowest cost. In the 1980s when most
companies believed that producing quality products was too costly, Motorola
believed the opposite: “the better, the cheaper.” It realized that by producing a
higher-quality product, the cost of producing goes down. Motorola knew that
greater customer satisfaction generates higher profi tability.
Today the competitive market leaves no space for error. It is now necessary
to implement the concepts of Lean Six Sigma. Lean Six Sigma is a business
strategy in which the focus is to improve the bottom line and increase customer
satisfaction.
Six Sigma philosophies are related to statistical process control, stochastic
control (relating to probability), and engineering process control. In addition, it
requires process and data analysis, optimization methods, lean manufacturing,
design of experiment, analysis of variance, statistical methods, mistake-proofi ng,
on-time and or on-schedule shipping, waste reduction, and consistency as-
surance. It is a process capability that continuously improves the quality of the
product and maximizes productivity. In simpler terms, Lean Six Sigma is the
following:
Essentials of Lean Six Sigma
Copyright © 2006 by Academic Press, Inc. All rights of reproduction in any form reserved.
1
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Introduction to Essentials of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
1. It is a data-driven approach and methodology to analyze the root causes
of manufacturing and business problems/processes by eliminating
defects (driving toward six standard deviations between the mean and
the nearest specifi cation limit), and dramatically improving the product.
2. It improves the employee’s knowledge of business management to distinguish
the business from the bottom line, customer satisfaction, and on-time delivery.
Thus, Six Sigma is not just process-improvement techniques but a
management strategy to manage the projects to fi nancial goals.
3. It combines robust design engineering philosophy and techniques with
low risks (Lean Six Sigma tools: measure, analyze, develop, and verify).
It would be very diffi cult to achieve this goal without teamwork and proper
training of the entire organization to a higher level of competency. During the
1980s Six Sigma grew into a distinct manufacturing discipline. It now encompasses
a wide range of disciplines, including transportation, administration, manufactur-
ing, medical, and a variety of other operating organizations and processes (by defi -
nition a process is any operation that has an input and produces an output).
1.1.2 LEAN/KAIZEN SIX SIGMA ENGINEERING
Lean speed is a technique as well as a continuous effort that is used to acceler-
ate and minimize the cost of any process by eliminating the waste in either
manufacturing or service. Basically, Lean philosophy identifi es and removes
ineffi ciencies like the nonvalue-added (waste) cost or unneeded wait time within
the process caused by defects, excess production, and other processes to expand
any organization. For example, in most cases 95% of the lead time (from the
beginning to the end of a process) is the wait time. Further, 80% of process delays
are caused by a 20% time trap (activities in the workstation). By improving 20%
time trap, it can eliminate 80% of process delays. Hence, Lean is associated with
speed, effi ciency, and acceleration of the process. Therefore, by integrating ele-
ments of Lean enterprise methodology with Six Sigma, which lacks tools that
control and reduce lead time, the feedback will be faster than planned.
The combination of these two powerful tools, Lean manufacturing and Six
Sigma strategy, will result in process variation reduction and dramatic bottom-
line (language of CEO) improvement. Since all companies are in the business of
achieving faster return on investments, particularly for their shareholders, using
Lean principles in Six Sigma is extremely important. For the company architect-
ing Six Sigma philosophy in its infrastructure, Lean manufacturing speed can
accelerate the implementation and benefi ts of the manufacturing process.
Here are some of the basic Lean manufacturing techniques and principles that
are used in Lean Six Sigma:
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comIntroduction to Essentials of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
3
1. 5S
• Sort (keep things that are essential), Shine (keep everything clean),
Straighten (make everything visible and accessible), Standardize
(implement the fi rst 3S and maintain them), and Sustain.
• The fi rst 3S are actions, and the last two are sustaining and
progressive.
2. Value-stream mapping
• A method of mapping a product’s production path from manufacturing
facility to customer’s door.
• A visual tool for identifying all steps of operations in the
manufacturing process with cost-effective results.
3. Kaizen event
• Continuous improvement.
4. Mistake-proofi ng
• Process analysis and implementation of robust engineering to build
quality into an assembly or manufacturing process with cost-effective
results.
5. Cycle time reduction
6. Inventory reduction
7. Setup time reduction
8. Waste identifi cation and elimination
In other words, the Lean speed is merged with or is embedded within the Six
Sigma principles. The integration of these two concepts will both deliver faster
results and achieve the best competitive position by concentrating on the use of tools
that have the highest impact on the already established performance levels. Another
example is the design of experiment that may require about 16 runs to determine
optimum factors and reduce variation. Minimizing the lead time by 80% will allow
the experiment to be completed fi ve times faster using fractional factorial design.
Basically Lean contributes to Six Sigma in the following manner:
1. Eliminates all the waste time that slows the project.
2. Maintains customer satisfaction with speed in delivery.
3. Gets the project done under the deadline and possibly under budget.
4. Continuously improves the profi tability (e.g., in a shorter period of time
than planned).
1.2 SIX SIGMA BACKGROUND
Motorola engineering scientist William Smith, known as the father of Six Sigma,
developed the concept in the 1980s. For many years, he and other pioneering engineers
and scientists worked on this or similar concepts to reduce variation, improve quality,
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Introduction to Essentials of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
and maximize productivity, including Walter A. Shewhart, W. Edwards Deming (see
Appendix for Demingr’s 14 points for management), Philip R. Crosby, Shiego Shingo,
Taiichi Ohno, and Joseph Juran. Each one studied quality from a different angle.
The methodology of Six Sigma uses the statistical theory and thus assumes
that every process factor can be characterized by a statistical distribution curve.
The objective is to free all the defects from every process, product, and transac-
tion. It is a process that provides tools to achieve nearly error-free products and
services with maximum profi tability. In the 1960s and 1970s, statistical process
control limits were based on plus or minus three sigma (±3 standard deviation)
from the mean. However, in this concept the process limits are plus or minus Six
Sigma from the mean.
Just like three sigma, Six Sigma is applicable to batch-to-batch process, dis-
crete, and continuous applications. The goal is to produce less than four defects
per one million operations. Six Sigma will enable a company to capture substan-
tial market share in the competitive global markets. Global competitiveness
almost becomes impossible without Six Sigma. Every company would benefi t by
adopting Six Sigma concepts and philosophy. Profi tability improves tremen-
dously if it is applied to all workforces in every department of the corporation.
1.3 SIX SIGMA SUCCESSES
An example of a Six Sigma successe is Motorola Corporation, which increased
net income from $2.3 billion in 1978 to $8.3 billion in 1988, using the Six Sigma
program. As a result, Motorola received the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality
Award by President Reagan in 1988. The award is presented to the industries that
become quality role models for others. GE also implemented Six Sigma in the
mid-1990s in a fi ve-year program and boosted its profi ts by a substantial amount.
By the year 2002 GE had achieved $4 billion in savings per year. Other compa-
nies that benefi t from Six Sigma are Allied Signal, Inc.; Polaroid Corporation;
Asea Brown Boveri Power Transformer Company; and DuPont.
At three sigma the cost of quality is 25 to 40% of sales revenue. At Six Sigma
it reduces cost of quality to less than 1% of sales revenue. In fact, Lean Six Sigma
is the epitome of quality and should be adopted by all manufacturing companies
to remain in business. Therefore, one must change measurement of quality in
parts per hundred (percentages) to parts per million. This has changed the
makeup and culture of industries that adopted Lean Six Sigma.
Sigma Variation
Mathematically variation and reproducibility are inversely related to each
other—for example, as variation increases, producibility decreases due to increase
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comIntroduction to Essentials of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
5
Comparisons of 3.8 Sigma and Six Sigma Defect Examples
Table 1.1
3.8 Sigma (99% Good)
Six Sigma (99.99966% 6s)
• 200,000 wrong drug prescriptions per year
• 5,000 incorrect surgical operations per week
• More than 15,000 newborn babies accidentally
dropped per year
• 2 short or long landings at major airports per day
• 20,000 articles of mail lost per hour
• 680 wrong prescriptions per year
• 88 incorrect operations per week
• 5 newborn babies dropped per year
• Less than 1 short or long landing
every 8 years
• 7 articles lost per hour
Comparisons of Old (Traditional) and New (Lean Six Sigma) Methods
Table 1.2
Problem
Design
Analysis
Issue
Manufacturing/
Molding
Inventory level
People
Management
Employee goal
Old methods
New methods
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Product performance
Product producibility
Experience based
Fixing problems
Data based
Preventing problems
Trial & error process
Robust design process
High production quantity
Low production quantity as needed
Cost to company
Cost & time
Company
Asset to company
Quality & time
Customer
Product engineering
Little input from customer
High input from customer
Quality focus
Product
Process
Dominant process
factors—selection
Apply one factor at a time
Apply design of experiment
Process improvement
Robotic technique
Optimization technique
Proving
Experience based
Company outlook
Short-term plan
Statistically based
Long-term plan
Customer satisfaction
Production at statistical
acceptance quality level
Fewer defects, when and what
quantity customer wants
External relationship
Price relationship
Long-term relationship
Layout
Functional
Production schedules
Forecast
Cell type
Customer order
Manufacturing cost
Continuously rising
Stable and decreasing
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6
Introduction to Essentials of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
of nonconformance (in the technical sense called a rejection or defect) probabil-
ity. Additional workforce, cost, scrap, and cycle time reduce the sigma level
where such variation comes from design, process, and material of the fi nished
products. Consequently, sigma variation reduces customer satisfaction and has
negative impact in the profi tability, which is one of the main focus areas of Six
Sigma.
It is too diffi cult to convert any operation from three sigma (3.0s) to Six Sigma
(6.0s) in one step. It will require several steps of improvements from 3.0s to
4.0s, 4.5s, 5.0s, 5.5s, and fi nally 6s (Tables 2.2 through 2.4 illustrate how as
sigma increases, product quality and profi tability also increase). This also means
that cycle time is reduced, quality checks are minimized, operating cost goes
down, variable costs shrink, and customer satisfaction goes up. At Six Sigma, all
products conform to a worldwide standard and are nearly defect free. In other
words, Six Sigma determines the capability of the process to accomplish a defect-
free work environment. So sigma range dictates how often defects are likely to
happen in the system. Six Sigma is not twice as good as three sigma but almost
20,000 times better.
Some examples of Six Sigma quality for long-term processes are shown in
Table 1.1.
Highlights of some of the Six Sigma cultural changes are listed in Table 1.2.
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comChapter 2
Statistical Theory of Lean Six
Sigma (6s) Strategies
2.1 NORMAL DISTRIBUTION CURVE
The concept of the normal distribution curve is the most important continuous
distribution in statistics. The normal distribution curve plays a key role in statisti-
cal methodology and applications. For instance, suppose for each of six days
samples of 11 parts were collected and measured for a critical dimension con-
cerning a shrinkage issue. The number of parts with dimensions is listed in Table
2.1.
Figure 2.1 illustrates the graphical representation of frequency distribution for
the data in Table 2.1, having an upper specifi cation limit (USL) 0.629, mean
0.625, and lower specifi cation limit (LSL) 0.621 (tolerance = ±0.004). This means
that any data above 0.629 and below 0.621 are assumed defects (out of specifi ca-
tion). Figure 2.1 indicates that data (population) are symmetrically distributed.
By locating bullets on the middle top of each column (as shown in Figure 2.2)
and connecting them, we set a bell-shaped curve, as in Figure 2.3, which is also
called a normal distribution curve (Figure 2.4). (This is discussed in detail in
Section 3.2.) The area under the distribution curve is the probability of variations
from the mean of any process.
2.2 SIX SIGMA PROCESS CAPABILITY CONCEPTS
Any manufactured part (or fi nished product) is considered scrap if it does not
meet the required measurement (e.g., dimensional, physical, mechanical,
or chemical properties). In other words, anything that results in customer dis-
satisfaction is called a defect. What this tells us is that the value is outside the
Essentials of Lean Six Sigma
Copyright © 2006 by Academic Press, Inc. All rights of reproduction in any form reserved.
7
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.com8
Statistical Theory of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
Table 2.1
Shrinkage Study Samples
Row
Number of parts
Dimensions
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
1
3
5
8
10
12
10
8
5
3
1
0.620
0.621 = LSL
0.622
0.623
0.624
0.625 = Mean
0.626
0.627
0.628
0.629 = USL
0.630
LSL = 0.621, Mean = 0.625, USL = 0.629
12
10
10
8
8
5
5
3
1
3
1
Dimension
LSL
USL
0.620 0.621 0.622 0.623 0.624 0.625 0.626 0.627 0.628
Figure 2.1 Histogram of sample dimensions.
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.comStatistical Theory of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
9
LSL
LSU
Figure 2.2 Histogram of sample dimensions with bullets on the frequency.
LSL
Mean
USL
Figure 2.3 Histogram and distribution curve of sample dimensions.
www.EngineeringEbooksPdf.com
10
Statistical Theory of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
Probability of
defects
Probability of
defects
LSL
Mean
LSU
Figure 2.4 Distribution curve of sample dimensions.
customer specifi cation limits—that is, the lower specifi cation limit (LSL) and
upper specifi cation limit (USL). The LSL and USL are determined by customer
requirements. The center in between LSL and USL is known as the mean or
target value.
Once a production process is in control (using statistical process control
methods), the question is, can the process maintain its capability for a longer period
of time? To determine this, one may investigate the short- and long-term capability
of a desired process. The difference between short and long capability is shown in
the following sections. (See Chapter 8 for more on process capability.)
2.2.1 SIX SIGMA SHORT-TERM CAPABILITY
Six Sigma short-term capability occurs when the process is centered on the
target and there is no distribution shift. It also assumes continuous uniform
process with no changes. The process capability for the short term is shown in
Tables 2.2 and 2.3.
For simplicity, Figure 2.5 illustrates Table 2.2 in x and y coordinates
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(magnitude).
Table 2.3 illustrates the values of Table 2.2 in percentages.
The theoretical value of 100% cannot be reached in practice because the curve
meets the x-axis in infi nity. The statistical representation (distribution curves) of
Table 2.2 for three sigma capability and Six Sigma capability when the process
is centered on the target is shown in Figure 2.6.
Figure 2.7 illustrates the distribution curve/ process and design width for Six
Sigma capability when the process is centered at the target.
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11
Impact of Process Capability of One Sigma through Six Sigma for Short Term
When the Process Is Centered on the Target
Table 2.2
Sigma capability
Defect free/million
1.0 Sigma
2.0 Sigma
3.0 Sigma
3.5 Sigma
4.0 Sigma
4.5 Sigma
5.0 Sigma
6.0 Sigma
682,690
954,500
997,300
999,535
999,937
999,993.2
999,999.4
999,999.998
Table 2.3
Defect/million
(expected nonconformances)
317,310
45,500
2,700 (Traditional quality)
465
63
6.8
0.6
0.002 (2 parts per billion)
Mathematical Comparison of Sigma Capability Concepts for Short Term
Defect free
per million
68.269000%
95.450000%
99.730000%
99.953500%
99.993700%
99.999320%
99.999940%
99.9999998%
Defect
per million
31.731000%
04.550000%
00.270000%
00.465000%
00.006300%
00.000680%
00.000060%
00.0000002%
Quality/
profi tability
loss
an industry average
above average
Sigma
capability
1.0 Sigma
2.0 Sigma
3.0 Sigma*
3.5 Sigma
4.0 Sigma
4.5 Sigma
5.0 Sigma
6.0 Sigma
*Traditional quality
s
e
i
t
i
n
u
t
r
o
p
p
O
n
o
i
l
l
i
M
r
e
p
s
t
c
e
f
e
D
1,000,000.00
100,000.00
10,000.00
1,000.00
100.00
10.00
1.00
0.10
0.01
0.00
1
2
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
6
Sigma Level
Figure 2.5 Capability of one sigma through Six Sigma for short term.
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12
Statistical Theory of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
1350 dpm
LSL
Target
(A)
3 Sigma Process Centered
1350 dpm
USL
6 Sigma Process Centered
0.001 dpm
0.001 dpm
LSL
(B)
LSU
Figure 2.6 A. Three Sigma capability. B. Six Sigma capability. When the process is centered on
the target.
-6σ
+6σ
-6σ
-3σ
+3σ
+6σ
LSL
Process Range
Design Range
USL
Figure 2.7 Distribution curve centered at the target.
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Statistical Theory of Lean Six Sigma (6s) Strategies
13
2.2.2 ESTIMATION OF SIX SIGMA LONG-TERM CAPABILITY
Six Sigma assumes that the process mean changes from lot to lot, especially
within a large quantity of lots. In addition, this change could result in an average
of 1.5 sigma distribution shift in either direction for long-term performance. This
is due to the fact that operator error and machine wear and tear contribute to the
offset of sigma from the target line. This is demonstrated in Table 2.4 for long-
term operation. Using this concept one can use an Excel spreadsheet and Equa-
tion 2.1 to calculate the sigma capability for various nonconformance probabilities
of product yield.
Sigma Capability NORMSINV Probability
=
(
)
Defects
6
10
Sigm
aa Capability NORMSINV 1
=
−
+
1 5
.
(2.1)
where NORMSINV stands for the inverse of the standard normal cumulative
distribution. Basically, NORMSINV uses an iterative method for evaluating the
function. By giving a probability value [1 − (Total defect/total op...